The central task in Thoroughbred handicapping is to evaluate the ability that horses have shown in their previous races, while speed handicapper constantly monitor finish time and speed to determine the better racers, the trip handicapper observe the whole run and proceeds to make to his pick. Class handicappers on the other hand look after sucessful horses, by birth or circumstance.
Speed handicapping, speed factor is most important when it comes to determining the outcome of a race and that is why handicappers focus squarely on how fast a racing horse goes as a way to predict the winner. All things being equal the fastest horse on the track will invariably win the races.
For handicappers predicting a race, horses finish times in past races are taken into account to make a bet on which will win. But the challenges to speed handicapping is that horses dont run consistently. Thoroughbreds are unstable beasts, and may be affected by to travelling between race facilities. Even as they are also affected by layoffs.
Speed handicapping is all about keeping track of speed figures. Speed performance is the mainfactor here. Handicappers keep track of horse’s speed performance with Speed figures. The most popular speed figure is Beyer’s speed figure; Beyers racing speed figures help handicappers keep track of horse speed performance, and rates them accordingly while handicappers are left with other factors that may affect this figures at each race. Beyer Speed Figures has become the standard speed statistic in American Races. This system Takes thousands of races into account to create par times for each race distance. Those times are then translated into easy-to-compare speed figures and put into past performance charts for every horse listed in the DRF. The higher the number the faster the horse. Therefore based on speed and win/loss records speed handicappers make their pick.
Trip handicapping, however, is a subjective art, based on visual judgement not analytic. Trip handicappers watch races carefully and form judgement of horses based on what they acually did on the track. They carefully watch the development of the race make their judgement as the race progresses; to them the fact that a horse will have ‘easy trip’ or ‘tough trips’ largely determines whether it will win or lose. Trip handicapping is a science on it own, for more!
On the other hand when considering pace you are trying to find the right racing horse for the right situation. Pace refers to the different ways horses apply their speed during the races. Some thoroughbred are stalkers, keeping at striking distance from the leader and burst out late in the race for the lead, other thoroughbred are front-runners and take the first position from the onset to get the lead and keep it using enough energy to outlast and exhaust their competition. Considering the different race tracks, duration and competition; thoroughbreds performs well as long as the factors favour their their racing style. Horses that gain ground on the leader late in the race will go to endure the leader to the end of the race, and even if exhaustion sets in will continue with the leader.
A thoroughbred that blows full throtle from beginning to end on a short track may not do so well on longer tracks or longer races. How long a bred competes in rush. Whether or not it pull back when head to head seems competition endures long,beaten in a rush does it try to have at it again or sit it out, all this tells a lot about a horse.
When Handicapping horse strenght and banking on them remember that you can also win betting on any finisher, so a quick note on their weaknesses may profit.
Some complex pace handicapping can produce quite amazing accuracy at predicting race proceeds and outcome. Advanced pace handicappers perform complex analyses on speed figures, fractional times, and track variants and other statistics to creat a detiled profile on every horse in a race That they can accurately tell the horse to take the lead as the pack burst the docks, how tthe horses will perform during to producde the winners. Pace handicapping is like a tailored version of trip handicapping.
Class handicapping is evaluating a horses potential based on the level of competition it has faced. When a horse has raced against good competition and has beaten all or finished well, that means high rating for that horse, usually the class factor produces the winners in races. The odds are invariably low against a winner at any race. A horse that finishes 6th in a field of 12 last week may take the lead among rivals only as good as the last five.
Staying on class, racing tourneys are also of their own category, higher class races that attracts better and faster horses offer higher winning prizes, and great bets. Thoroughbred races are broken into three kinds of races;
Stakes races, are the pinnacle of the sport. Horses that get into the stake races must have won other high-class races. Stack races attracts the best horses and the biggest purses.
Claiming races, two thirds of all races in North America are claiming races. A horse’s claim amount is the dollar amount a qualified buyer can pruchase an entrant(thoroughbred). The higher the claim amount the classier the race.
Allowance Races, The middle tier of thoroughbred entrants to this race has no claim price so bettor have no way of knowing the class of horses, rather bettor must look at the money paid winners to determine class of thoroughbred.
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